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钟建英's avatar

Thanks interesting to read. I have a different take on notion of Russia being “bogged down” in Ukraine. I think Putin didn’t want to call for a full mobilisation and judged that casualties (and cost) would be minimised by taking a slower but steady approach of attrition. No idea how China proposes to take Taiwan should it decide to do so by force, but I think China too will want to minimise casualties and avoid harm to the Taiwanese people. So perhaps a partial economic blockade might work, requiring all trade with Taiwan to take place through China. For example, only Chinese merchant ships can transport goods to and from Taiwan. Goods from other countries must first land in Xiamen for inspection before they are sent across to Taiwan. That could be a minimal use of force to compel a peaceful reunification with the mainland. It would be wonderful if Taiwan reunifies with the mainland within my lifetime.

Paul Okocha's avatar

As far as I am concerned, nations and empires are born and are dissolved. It's wasteful for Beijing to make it a priority to unsettle a people living peacefully in their new found abode. China may be underestimating the resolve of other nations in this matter of Taiwan. LEAVE TAIWAN ALONE. China has enough, land , population and other resources to be a world power. China will decline miserably in all fronts if it invades Taiwan. Russia had similar delusion of a walk in walk out victory in Ukraine. Russia knows better now. Truth also is that the advisers pushing for war will not be in the battlefield suffering the consequences of their advice. They will be with their families drinking tea while the poor get pushed to go and die.

The Chinese people should not allow manipulators and politicians to ruin their lives.

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